Today’s best WNBA bets (predictions, Caitlin Clark, Sparks-Fever specials)

The WNBA presents a standalone matchup between two of the league’s top rookies on Wednesday night in Indiana.

Caitlin Clark, Kelsey Mitchell and the Indiana Fever host the Los Angeles Sparks and rookie star Rickea Jackson, who has scored 10 or more points in nine straight games entering this matchup.

While second overall pick Cameron Brink is out for the rest of the season with a torn ACL, we’ll still get an intriguing matchup between some of the best young players in the game.

Los Angeles has struggled in 2024, with just seven wins while the Fever are the No. 6 seed in the WNBA, winning four straight and 16 of their last 24.

As always, I’m placing a few bets on this matchup, including one on the Rookie of the Year favorite (Clark).

Let’s break them down!

Odd numbers via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Find Peter Dewey WNBA Betting Record Here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays at BetStamp here.

Los Angeles Sparks-Indiana Fever OVER 173 (-110)

While I expect the Fever to do well at home in this game (they’re 9-5 at home this season), the best bet is on the total.

The OVER has been the go-to play for the Fever all season, as they have accomplished it in 21 of their 33 games.

Indiana plays at a very fast pace, ranking fourth in the league overall and third since the Olympic break. Los Angeles also loves to push the pace, ranking second in the league in terms of pace since the Olympic break.

The Fever have scored 100 points in consecutive games and should thrive against a Sparks defense that is No. 11 in the league in defensive rating since the break.

I’m concerned about Los Angeles’ offense (No. 12 in offensive rating since the break), but it scored 94 points in a win over the New York Liberty and 110 in a loss to the Dallas Wings last week.

This game should turn into a track meet, and even if the Fever win by a wide margin, I expect them to score enough to put this game in great position to move on to OVER.

Caitlin Clark OVER 9.5 assists (-105) – 0.5 points

In two games against the Sparks this season, Clark had eight and six assists, but I expect her to finish in double digits in assists tonight.

The Sparks are 11th in the WNBA in defensive rating since the Olympic break, and as I mentioned before, this game should be played at a fast pace with plenty of possession for the No. 1 overall pick to rack up assists.

This season, Los Angeles has allowed 21.6 opponents’ assists per game, third-most in the WNBA.

Clark has three games with double figures in assists since the Olympic break, including back-to-back games with 12. Against a weak defense, I expect her to move the ball and get her teammates going.

Since June 23, Clark is averaging 10.6 assists per game. At this price, I’d risk him playing half a unit.

Rates are updated periodically and are subject to change.

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