St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/14/2024, MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, September 14, 2024

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario

TV: Sports network

The St. Louis Cardinals (73-72) head to Rogers Centre on Saturday, where they will try to defeat the Toronto Blue Jays (69-78). Pitchers expected to start are Kyle Gibson and Jose Berrios.

As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals are compiling 4.1 runs per game, which ranks 24th in the MLB. They have 594 runs scored and a .310 OBP. The Cardinals have recorded 223 doubles as a team and have hit 148 balls out of the park. They have recorded 564 RBIs and 1,213 base hits so far this year, while their team batting average sits at .246. St. Louis has a .388 slugging rate and have been called out on strikes 1,191 times, while being walked 422 times.

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They have posted a K/BB ratio of 2.82 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27. Cardinals pitchers have allowed 160 home runs and 659 total runs (19th in the league). St. Louis has allowed 1,222 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) to go along with 596 earned runs. The Cardinals have compiled a collective ERA of 4.15 on the season (19th in MLB), and have registered 1,174 batters. Their pitching staff has issued 417 walks and their FIP is 4.02 as a team for the season.

Cardinals relievers have a 66.2% save rate and have taken the mound in 166 save situations. Relievers have inherited 205 runners for the season and 35.6% of them have crossed the plate. Cardinals relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 149 times and have also made 163 appearances in high-leverage situations. The Cardinals have sent 461 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen has accumulated 92 holds this season (fifth in MLB). They have accumulated 49 saves so far this season and have blown 25 of their 74 save opportunities.

The Cardinals have converted 69.7% of balls in play into outs in their 11,643 innings, which ranks 17th in professional baseball. The St. Louis Cardinals have accumulated 3,881 putouts on the season, along with 1,354 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988, which ranks fourth in professional baseball, and they have turned 134 double plays.

Gibson (112-106 career mark) has a 4.45 FIP and has faced 7,926 batters in the majors. He has allowed 1,893 hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 648 walks. His ERA is 4.52 (928 ERA) and he has a career WHIP of 1.374. Gibson has pitched 1,849 innings and has racked up 1,502 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a .314 on-base percentage, as well as a .242 batting average on the season. They have been hit 1,121 times (25th in the league) and have 1,188 hits. Toronto has compiled 148 home runs this year and 593 RBIs. The Blue Jays have a .395 SLG% and are recording 4.22 runs per game (20th in the league). They have hit 262 doubles, while walking 460 times, in addition to scoring 621 runs.

Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 676 runs this year and has a collective ERA of 4.33 (622 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 194 home runs and are allowing 4.70 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The Blue Jays have a collective WHIP of 1.272 with a 4.48 FIP as a team on the year. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.30 (1,200 strikeouts to 452 walks). They rank 18th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,194.

Toronto has called on relievers to enter the game in 55 save opportunities and they have tallied 35 saves. They rank 15th in the league with a 63.6% save rate, and they have sent 492 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season. Their relievers have taken the mound 114 times in high-leverage situations, as well as 141 times with runners on base. Toronto’s relief pitchers have an inherited run-scoring percentage of 32.6% from their 221 inherited baserunners. With 137 save situations, the Blue Jays have accumulated 79 holds and 20 blown saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 113 double plays and have posted a .983 fielding percentage (23rd in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 1,215 assists, 86 errors and have accumulated 3,883 putouts on the season. In their 11,649 innings played, the Blue Jays have compiled a defensive efficiency rating of 70.5% (9th in professional baseball).

Berrios (98-75 career record) has a 4.07 ERA while allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has a 3.23 K/BB ratio and has faced 5,842 batters during his career. He has allowed 628 earned runs while maintaining a 1.232 WHIP and 4.0 FIP. During his professional baseball career, Berrios has allowed 1,300 hits while racking up 1,329 strikeouts in 1,389 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or money line?

Guy Bruhn’s choice: Toronto

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